高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

A Predicting Nomogram for Mortality in Patients With COVID-19

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE ◇ SSCI

单位: [1]Qingdao Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Qingdao, Peoples R China [2]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Dept Hematol,Wuhan,Peoples R China [3]Qingdao Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Joint Surg, Qingdao, Peoples R China [4]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Dept Biliary Pancreat Surg,Wuhan,Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: nomogram predict mortality COVID-19 patients

摘要:
Background:The global COVID-19 epidemic remains severe, with the cumulative global death toll reaching more than 207,170 as of May 2, 2020 (1). Purpose:Our research objective is to establish a reliable nomogram to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients. The nomogram can help us distinguish between patients who are at high risk of death and need close attention. Patients and Methods:For the single-center retrospective study, we collected 21 cases of patients who died in the critical illness area of the Optical Valley Branch of Tongji Hospital, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, from February 9 to March 10. Additionally, we selected 99 patients discharged during this period for analysis. The nomogram was constructed to predict the mortality for COVID-19 patients using the primary group of 120 patients and was validated using an independent cohort of 84 patients. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to construct the prediction model. The nomogram was evaluated for calibration, differentiation, and clinical usefulness. Results:The predictors included in the nomogram were c-reactive protein, PaO2/FiO(2), and cTnI. The areas under the curves of the nomogram were 0.988 (95% CI: 0.972-1.000) and 0.956 (95% CI, 0.874-1.000) in the primary and validation groups, respectively. Decision curve analysis suggests that the nomogram may have clinical usefulness. Conclusion:This study provides a nomogram containing c-reactive protein, PaO2/FiO(2), and cTnI that can be conveniently used to predict individual mortality in COVID-19 patients. Next, we will collect as many cases as possible from multiple centers to build a more reliable nomogram to predict mortality for COVID-19 patients.

基金:
语种:
被引次数:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
JCR分区:
出版当年[2018]版:
Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
最新[2023]版:
Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2018版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2017版] 出版后一年[2019版]

第一作者:
第一作者单位: [1]Qingdao Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Qingdao, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:426 今日访问量:2 总访问量:410 更新日期:2025-04-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有:重庆聚合科技有限公司 渝ICP备12007440号-3 地址:重庆市两江新区泰山大道西段8号坤恩国际商务中心16层(401121)