高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Development and validation of a risk score using complete blood count to predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ ESCI

单位: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Cardiol, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [2]Wuhan Univ, Dept Cardiol, Renmin Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [3]Wuhan Univ, Inst Model Anim, Wuhan, Peoples R China [4]Wuhan Inst Technol, Sch Math & Phys, Wuhan, Peoples R China [5]Wuhan Univ, Wuhan Hosp 3, Dept Gastroenterol, Wuhan, Peoples R China [6]Wuhan Univ, Tongren Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [7]Cent Hosp Enshi Tujia & Miao Autonomous Prefectur, Enshi, Peoples R China [8]Wuhan Univ, Med Sci Res Ctr, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [9]Queen Mary Univ London, Ctr Clin Pharmacol, William Harvey Res Inst, London, England [10]Thomas Jefferson Univ, Dept Emergency Med, Philadelphia, PA 19004 USA [11]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Cent Hosp Wuhan, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Cardiol, Wuhan, Peoples R China [12]Humanitas Clin & Res Hosp IRCCS, Rozzano Milan, Italy [13]Humanitas Univ, Dept Biomed Sci, Pieve Emanuele Milan, Italy [14]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Div Cardiothorac & Vasc Surg,Wuhan,Peoples R China [15]Wuhan Univ, Dept Neonatol, Renmin Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [16]Wuhan Univ, Dept Hepatobiliary & Pancreat Surg, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [17]Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 3, Dept Cardiol, Changsha, Peoples R China [18]Univ Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Dept Anesthesiol, Cardiovasc Res Labs, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
Background: To develop a sensitive risk score predicting the risk of mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) using complete blood count (CBC). Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study from a total of 13,138 inpatients with COVID-19 in Hubei, China, and Milan, Italy. Among them, 9,810 patients with >= CBC records from Hubei were assigned to the training cohort. CBC parameters were analyzed as potential predictors for all-cause mortality and were selected by the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM). Findings: Five risk factors were derived to construct a composite score (PAWNN score) using the Cox regression model, including platelet counts, age, white blood cell counts, neutrophil counts, and neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio. The PAWNNscore showed good accuracy for predicting mortality in 10-fold cross-validation (AUROCs 0.92-0.93) and subsets with different quartile intervals of follow-up and preexisting diseases. The performance of the score was further validated in 2,949 patients with only 1 CBC record from the Hubei cohort (AUROC 0.97) and 227 patients from the Italian cohort (AUROC 0.80). The latent Markov model (LMM) demonstrated that the PAWNN score has good prediction power for transition probabilities between different latent conditions. Conclusions: The PAWNN score is a simple and accurate risk assessment tool that can predict the mortality for COVID-19 patients during their entire hospitalization. This tool can assist clinicians in prioritizing medical treatment of COVID-19 patients.

基金:
语种:
被引次数:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:研究与实验
JCR分区:
出版当年[2019]版:
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版]

第一作者:
第一作者单位: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Cardiol, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [5]Wuhan Univ, Wuhan Hosp 3, Dept Gastroenterol, Wuhan, Peoples R China [6]Wuhan Univ, Tongren Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Cardiol, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [2]Wuhan Univ, Dept Cardiol, Renmin Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [3]Wuhan Univ, Inst Model Anim, Wuhan, Peoples R China [8]Wuhan Univ, Med Sci Res Ctr, Zhongnan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [17]Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 3, Dept Cardiol, Changsha, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:426 今日访问量:0 总访问量:408 更新日期:2025-04-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有:重庆聚合科技有限公司 渝ICP备12007440号-3 地址:重庆市两江新区泰山大道西段8号坤恩国际商务中心16层(401121)