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Prediction of Sepsis in COVID-19 Using Laboratory Indicators.

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单位: [1]Department of Laboratory Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, [2]National Engineering Research Center for Big Data Technology and System, Services Computing Technology and System Lab, Cluster and Grid Computing Lab, School of Computer Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, [3]The Australia-China Joint Research Centre for Energy Informatics and Demand Response Technologies, Centre for Distributed and High Performance Computing, School of Computer Science, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia, [4]Department of Computer Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
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关键词: COVID-19 sepsis coagulation function inflammatory factor artificial intelligence

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The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a global public health concern. Many inpatients with COVID-19 have shown clinical symptoms related to sepsis, which will aggravate the deterioration of patients' condition. We aim to diagnose Viral Sepsis Caused by SARS-CoV-2 by analyzing laboratory test data of patients with COVID-19 and establish an early predictive model for sepsis risk among patients with COVID-19.This study retrospectively investigated laboratory test data of 2,453 patients with COVID-19 from electronic health records. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) was employed to build four models with different feature subsets of a total of 69 collected indicators. Meanwhile, the explainable Shapley Additive ePlanation (SHAP) method was adopted to interpret predictive results and to analyze the feature importance of risk factors.The model for classifying COVID-19 viral sepsis with seven coagulation function indicators achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.9213 (95% CI, 89.94-94.31%), sensitivity 97.17% (95% CI, 94.97-98.46%), and specificity 82.05% (95% CI, 77.24-86.06%). The model for identifying COVID-19 coagulation disorders with eight features provided an average of 3.68 (±) 4.60 days in advance for early warning prediction with 0.9298 AUC (95% CI, 86.91-99.04%), 82.22% sensitivity (95% CI, 67.41-91.49%), and 84.00% specificity (95% CI, 63.08-94.75%).We found that an abnormality of the coagulation function was related to the occurrence of sepsis and the other routine laboratory test represented by inflammatory factors had a moderate predictive value on coagulopathy, which indicated that early warning of sepsis in COVID-19 patients could be achieved by our established model to improve the patient's prognosis and to reduce mortality.Copyright © 2021 Tang, Luo, Lu, Li, Liu, Nan, Ren, Liao, Wu, Jin, Zomaya and Sun.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 免疫学 3 区 微生物学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 免疫学 2 区 微生物学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 IMMUNOLOGY Q2 MICROBIOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MICROBIOLOGY Q2 IMMUNOLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of Laboratory Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China,
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