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Development and validation of a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-based prognostic nomogram for predicting survival in elderly patients with gastric cancer after surgery

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单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Tongji Hosp,Dept Gastrointestinal Surg,Wuhan,Peoples R China [2]Fudan Univ, Shanghai Canc Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China [3]Fudan Univ, Shanghai Med Coll, Dept Oncol, Shanghai, Peoples R China
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关键词: Elderly gastric cancer (ELGC) nomogram overall survival (OS) cancer-specific survival (CSS)

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Background: Elderly gastric cancer (ELGC) remains one of the intensively investigated topics during the last decades. To establish a comprehensive nomogram for effective clinical practice and assessment is of significance. This study is designed to develop a prognostic nomogram for ELGC both in overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Methods: The recruited cases were from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and input for the construction of nomogram. Results: A total of 4,414 individuals were recruited for this study, of which 2,208 were randomly in training group and 2,206 were in validation group. In univariate analysis of OS, significant variables (P<0.05) included age, marital status, grade, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, bone/brain/liver/lung metastasis and tumor size. In univariate analysis of CSS, significant variables (P<0.05) included age, grade, AJCC TNM stage, bone/brain/liver/lung metastasis and tumor size. In multivariate analysis of OS, sex, age, race, grade, TNM stage, lung metastasis and tumor size were considered as the significant variables and subjected to the establishment of nomogram. In multivariable analysis of CSS, age, grade, TNM, tumor size were considered as the significant variables and input to the establishment of nomogram. Sex, age, race, grade, TNM stage, lung metastasis and tumor size were included for the establishment of nomogram in OS while age, grade, TNM, tumor size were included to the establishment of nomogram in CSS. C-index, decision curve analysis (DCA) and the area under the curve (AUC) showed distinct value of newly established nomogram models. Both OS and CSS nomograms showed higher statistic power over the AJCC stage. Conclusions: This study established and validated novel nomogram models of OS and CSS for ELGC based on population dataset.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学 4 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q3 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Q3 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q3 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Q3 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Tongji Hosp,Dept Gastrointestinal Surg,Wuhan,Peoples R China
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