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Early identification of patients with severe COVID-19 at increased risk of in-hospital death: a multicenter case-control study in Wuhan

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单位: [1]Beijing Inst Radiat Med, Dept Pharmaceut Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China [2]Capital Med Univ, Sch Nursing, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Peking Univ, Med Informat Ctr, Hlth Sci Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Peking Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Hlth Sci Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China [5]Zhejiang Univ, Emergency Dept, Affiliated Hosp 2, Sch Med, Hangzhou, Peoples R China [6]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Emergency & Intens Care Unit,Tongji Hosp,Wuhan,Peoples R China [7]Wuhan Pulm Hosp, Intens Care Unit, Wuhan, Peoples R China [8]Jinyintan Hosp, Intens Care Unit, Wuhan, Peoples R China [9]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Hepatobiliary Surg Unit,Tongji Hosp,Wuhan,Peoples R China [10]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Thorac Surg Unit,Tongji Hosp,Wuhan,Peoples R China [11]Monash Univ, Sch Nursing & Midwifery, Melbourne, Vic, Australia [12]Tianjin Univ Tradit Chinese Med, Tianjin, Peoples R China
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关键词: COVID-19 severe in-hospital mortality early risk indicator case-control

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Background: Most evidence regarding the risk factors for early in-hospital mortality in patients with severe COVID-19 focused on laboratory data at the time of hospital admission without adequate adjustment for confounding variables. A multicenter, age-matched, case-control study was therefore designed to explore the dynamic changes in laboratory parameters during the first 10 days after admission and identify early risk indicators for in-hospital mortality in this patient cohort. Methods: Demographics and clinical data were extracted from the medical records of 93 pairs of patients who had been admitted to hospital with severe COVID-19. These patients had either been discharged or were deceased by March 3, 2020. Data from days 1, 4, 7, and 10 of hospital admission were compared between survivors and non-survivors. Univariate and multivariate conditional logistic regression analyses were employed to identify early risk indicators of in-hospital death in this cohort. Results: On admission, in-hospital mortality was associated with five risk indicators (ORs in descending order): aspartate aminotransferase (AST, >32 U/L) 43.20 (95% CI: 2.63, 710.04); C-reactive protein (CRP) greater than 100 mg/L 13.61 (1.78, 103.941); lymphocyte count lower than 0.6x10(9)/L 9.95 (1.30, 76.42); oxygen index (OI) less than 200 8.23 (1.04, 65.15); and D-dimer over 1 mg/L 8.16 (1.23, 54.34). Sharp increases in D-dimer at day 4, accompanied by decreasing lymphocyte counts, deteriorating OI, and persistent remarkably high CRP concentration were observed among non-survivors during the early stages of hospital admission. Conclusions: The potential risk factors of high D-dimer, CRP, AST, low lymphocyte count and OI could help clinicians identify patients at high risk of death early in the hospital admission. This might assist with rationalization of health care resources.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
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大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
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Q3 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM
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第一作者单位: [1]Beijing Inst Radiat Med, Dept Pharmaceut Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [6]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Emergency & Intens Care Unit,Tongji Hosp,Wuhan,Peoples R China [8]Jinyintan Hosp, Intens Care Unit, Wuhan, Peoples R China
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