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Development of predisposition, injury, response, organ failure model for predicting acute kidney injury in acute on chronic liver failure

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单位: [1]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Hepatol, New Delhi, India [2]Command Hosp Eastern Command, Dept Clin Hematol, Kolkata, India [3]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Clin Res, New Delhi, India [4]INSERM, CRI, UMR_ S1149, Paris, France [5]Paris Diderot Univ, Paris, France [6]Beaujon Hosp, AP HP, Liver Unit, DHU Unity, Clichy, France [7]Ziauddin Univ Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Karachi, Pakistan [8]Bombay Hosp & Med Res, Dept Gastroenterol & Hepatol, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India [9]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Pathol, New Delhi, India [10]Aga Khan Univ Hosp, Dept Med, Karachi, Pakistan [11]Univ Hong Kong, Div Hepatobiliary & Pancreat Surg & Liver Transpl, Dept Surg, Hong Kong, Peoples R China [12]Post Grad Inst Med Educ & Res, Dept Hepatol, Chandigarh, India [13]Ankara Univ, Dept Gastroenterol, Sch Med, Ankara, Turkey [14]Nork Clin Hosp Infect Dis, Dept Hepatol, Yerevan, Armenia [15]Hallym Univ, Ctr Liver & Digest Dis, Chuncheon Sacred Heart Hosp, Gangwon Do, South Korea [16]Chulalongkorn Univ, Div Gastroenterol & Hepatol, Dept Med, Bangkok, Thailand [17]Beijing 302 Hosp, Inst Translat Hepatol, Dept Hepatol, Beijing, Peoples R China [18]Natl Univ Hlth Syst, Dept Med, Singapore, Singapore [19]Univ Indonesia, Div Hepatol, Jakarta, Indonesia [20]Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Med Univ, Dept Hepatol, Dhaka, Bangladesh [21]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Nephrol, New Delhi, India [22]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Wuhan, Peoples R China [23]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Wuhan, Peoples R China [24]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Hepatobiliary Surg, New Delhi, India [25]Cardinal Santos Med Ctr, Dept Hepatol, Manila, Philippines [26]Global Hlth City, Inst Liver Dis & Transplantat, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India [27]Sanjay Gandhi Post Grad Inst Med Sci, Dept Gastroenterol, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India [28]Global Hosp, Dept Hepatol, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India [29]Egyptian Liver Res Inst & Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Cairo, Egypt [30]GB Pant Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, New Delhi, India [31]Selayang Hosp, Dept Hepatol, Selangor, Malaysia [32]Univ Hong Kong, Dept Med, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China [33]Chiba Univ, Grad Sch Med, Dept Gastroenterol & Nephrol, Chiba, Japan [34]St Johns Med Coll & Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Bangalore, Karnataka, India [35]CMC, Dept Gastroenterol & Hepatol, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India [36]Dept Gastroenterol, Rome, NY USA [37]Dayanand Med Coll & Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Ludhiana, Punjab, India [38]Liver Res Ctr, Dept Gastroenterol, Beijing, Peoples R China [39]Nanjing First Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China [40]Dept Gastroenterol, East Brunswick, NJ USA
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关键词: acute kidney injury acute on chronic liver failure liver failure Multiple organ failure PIRO

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Background and Aim There is limited data on predictors of acute kidney injury in acute on chronic liver failure. We developed a PIRO model (Predisposition, Injury, Response, Organ failure) for predicting acute kidney injury in a multicentric cohort of acute on chronic liver failure patients. Patients and Methods Data of 2360 patients from APASL-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) was analysed. Multivariate logistic regression model (PIRO score) was developed from a derivation cohort (n=1363) which was validated in another prospective multicentric cohort of acute on chronic liver failure patients (n=997). Results Factors significant for P component were serum creatinine[(2mg/dL)OR 4.52, 95% CI (3.67-5.30)], bilirubin [(<12mg/dL,OR 1) vs (12-30mg/dL,OR 1.45, 95% 1.1-2.63) vs (30mg/dL,OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3-5.2)], serum potassium [(<3mmol/LOR-1) vs (3-4.9mmol/L,OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.05-1.97) vs (5mmol/L,OR 4.34, 95% CI 1.67-11.3)] and blood urea (OR 3.73, 95% CI 2.5-5.5); for I component nephrotoxic medications (OR-9.86, 95% CI 3.2-30.8); for R component,Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome,(OR-2.14, 95% CI 1.4-3.3); for O component, Circulatory failure (OR-3.5, 95% CI 2.2-5.5). The PIRO score predicted acute kidney injury with C-index of 0.95 and 0.96 in the derivation and validation cohort. The increasing PIRO score was also associated with mortality (P<.001) in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Conclusions The PIRO model identifies and stratifies acute on chronic liver failure patients at risk of developing acute kidney injury. It reliably predicts mortality in these patients, underscoring the prognostic significance of acute kidney injury in patients with acute on chronic liver failure.

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出版当年[2016]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 胃肠肝病学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 胃肠肝病学
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出版当年[2015]版:
Q1 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2015版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2014版] 出版后一年[2016版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Inst Liver & Biliary Sci, Dept Hepatol, New Delhi, India
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