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A nomogram for predicting the risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with solid cancers

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单位: [1]Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, China
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关键词: Venous thrombosis Solid cancer Prediction model Nomogram

摘要:
Cancer patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) are prone to poor prognoses. Thus, we aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of VTE in these patients. We retrospectively analyzed 791 patients diagnosed with solid tumors between January 2017 and May 2021 at Tongji Hospital. Univariate logistic analysis and multivariate logistic regression were adopted in this study. Our results indicated that age ≥ 60 years, tumor stages III-IV, platelet distribution width (PDW) ≤ 12.6%, albumin concentration ≤ 38.8 g/L, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) concentration ≥ 198 U/L, D-dimer concentration ≥ 1.72 µg/mL, blood hemoglobin concentration ≤ 100 g/dL or the use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and cancer types were independent risk factors. The nomogram prediction model was developed based on the regression coefficients of these variables. We assessed the performance of the nomogram by calibration plot and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and compared it with the Khorana score. The concordance index (C- index) of the nomogram was 0.852 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.823 to 0.880], while the Khorana score was 0.681 (95% CI 0.639 to 0.723). Given its performance, this nomogram could be used to select cancer patients at high risk for VTE and guide thromboprophylaxis treatment in clinical practice, provided it is validated in an external cohort.© 2023. The Author(s).

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 外周血管病 4 区 心脏和心血管系统 4 区 血液学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 血液学 4 区 心脏和心血管系统 4 区 外周血管病
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Q2 HEMATOLOGY Q2 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Q2 HEMATOLOGY Q2 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2021版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2020版] 出版后一年[2022版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, China
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