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Association between antibiotic resistance and increasing ambient temperature in China: An ecological study with nationwide panel data

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单位: [1]School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. [2]School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia. [3]Department of Anaesthesiology, School of Clinical Medicine, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China. [4]Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. [5]Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
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关键词: Antibiotic resistance Ambient temperature Climate change China

摘要:
Antibiotic resistance leads to longer hospital stays, higher medical costs, and increased mortality. However, research into the relationship between climate change and antibiotic resistance remains inconclusive. This study aims to address the gap in the literature by exploring the association of antibiotic resistance with regional ambient temperature and its changes over time.Data were obtained from the China Antimicrobial Surveillance Network (CHINET), monitoring the prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB), Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA) in 28 provinces/regions over the period from 2005 to 2019. Log-linear regression models were established to determine the association between ambient temperature and antibiotic resistance after adjustment for variations in socioeconomic, health service, and environmental factors.A 1 °C increase in average ambient temperature was associated with 1.14-fold increase (95%-CI [1.07-1.23]) in CRKP prevalence and 1.06-fold increase (95%-CI [1.03-1.08]) in CRPA prevalence. There was an accumulative effect of year-by-year changes in ambient temperature, with the four-year sum showing the greatest effect on antibiotic resistance. Higher prevalence of antibiotic resistance was also associated with higher antibiotic consumption, lower density of health facilities, higher density of hospital beds and higher level of corruption.Higher prevalence of antibiotic resistance is associated with increased regional ambient temperature. The development of antibiotic resistance under rising ambient temperature differs across various strains of bacteria.The National Key R&D Program of China (grant number: 2018YFA0606200), National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number: 72074234), Fundamental Scientific Research Funds for Central Universities, P.R. China (grant number: 22qntd4201), China Medical Board (grant number: CMB-OC-19-337).© 2022 The Author(s).

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 卫生保健与服务 2 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 卫生保健与服务 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
最新[2023]版:
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2021版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2020版] 出版后一年[2022版]

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第一作者单位: [1]School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
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