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Machine learning prediction model for post- hepatectomy liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter study

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单位: [1]Xingtai Peoples Hosp, Xingtai Key Lab Precis Med Liver Cirrhosis & Porta, Xingtai, Hebei, Peoples R China [2]Southeast Univ, Zhongda Hosp, Ctr Portal Hypertens, Med Sch,Dept Radiol, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China [3]Xuzhou Med Univ, Dept Med Equipment Management, Artificial Intelligence Unit, Affiliated Hosp, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, Peoples R China [4]China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Informat & Control Engn, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, Peoples R China [5]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Dept Hepatobiliary Surg,Tongji Hosp,Wuhan,Hubei,Peoples R China [6]Dalian Med Univ, Dept Hepatobiliary Surg, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dalian, Liaoning, Peoples R China [7]Peoples Liberat Army PLA Gen Hosp, Dept Hepatobiliary Surg, Med Ctr 5, Beijing, Peoples R China [8]Nanjing Med Univ, Dept Hepatobiliary Surg, Affiliated Hosp 2, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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关键词: hepatocellular carcinoma liver resection post-hepatectomy liver failure artificial intelligence machine learning

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IntroductionPost-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is one of the most serious complications and causes of death in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. This study aimed to develop a novel machine learning (ML) model based on the light gradient boosting machines (LightGBM) algorithm for predicting PHLF. MethodsA total of 875 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy were randomized into a training cohort (n=612), a validation cohort (n=88), and a testing cohort (n=175). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was performed to determine the importance of individual variables. By combining these independent risk factors, an ML model for predicting PHLF was established. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and decision curve analyses (DCA) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the ML model and compare it to that of other noninvasive models. ResultsThe AUCs of the ML model for predicting PHLF in the training cohort, validation cohort, and testing cohort were 0.944, 0.870, and 0.822, respectively. The ML model had a higher AUC for predicting PHLF than did other non-invasive models. The ML model for predicting PHLF was found to be more valuable than other noninvasive models. ConclusionA novel ML model for the prediction of PHLF using common clinical parameters was constructed and validated. The novel ML model performed better than did existing noninvasive models for the prediction of PHLF.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
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Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Xingtai Peoples Hosp, Xingtai Key Lab Precis Med Liver Cirrhosis & Porta, Xingtai, Hebei, Peoples R China [2]Southeast Univ, Zhongda Hosp, Ctr Portal Hypertens, Med Sch,Dept Radiol, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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