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Age-related disparities in diabetes risk attributable to modifiable risk factor profiles in Chinese adults: a nationwide, population-based, cohort study

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单位: [1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Natl Clin Res Ctr Endocrine & Metab Dis, Sch Med,Ruijin Hosp,Shanghai Natl Ctr Translat Me, Shanghai Inst Endocrine & Metab Dis,Key Lab Endoc, Shanghai, Peoples R China [2]First Hosp Jilin Univ, Changchun, Peoples R China [3]Harbin Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 2, Harbin, Peoples R China [4]Zhejiang Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Hangzhou, Peoples R China [5]Fujian Med Univ, Fujian Prov Hosp, Fuzhou, Peoples R China [6]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Xinhua Hosp, Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China [7]Chinese Peoples Liberat Army Gen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China [8]Lanzhou Univ, Hosp 1, Lanzhou, Peoples R China [9]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sun Yat Sen Mem Hosp, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [10]Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China [11]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Luzhou, Peoples R China [12]Dalian Municipal Cent Hosp, Dalian, Peoples R China [13]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Tongji Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [14]Wenzhou Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Wenzhou, Peoples R China [15]Guangxi Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Nanning, Peoples R China [16]Shandong Univ, Qilu Hosp, Jinan, Peoples R China [17]Nanchang Univ, Jiangxi Prov Peoples Hosp, Nanchang, Jiangxi, Peoples R China [18]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Union Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [19]Cent Hosp ShanghaiJiading Dist, Shanghai, Peoples R China [20]Jiangsu Prov Hosp Integrat Chinese & Western Med, Nanjing, Peoples R China [21]Anhui Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Hefei, Peoples R China [22]Karamay Municipal Peoples Hosp, Karamay, Xinjiang, Peoples R China [23]Nanjing Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Nanjing, Peoples R China [24]Chongqing Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Chongqing, Peoples R China [25]Shandong Univ, Shandong Prov Hosp, Jinan, Peoples R China [26]Guiyang Med Coll, Affiliated Hosp, Guiyang, Peoples R China [27]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Ruijin Hosp, Clin Trials Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China
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Background National investigations of age-specific modifiable risk profiles for diabetes are crucial to promote personalised strategies for the prevention and control of diabetes, particularly in countries such as China, which is experiencing both a diabetes epidemic and a rapidly ageing population. We aimed to examine the associations of 12 potentially modifiable socioeconomic, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors with diabetes in a nationwide prospective cohort of Chinese adults across four age groups. Methods We analysed data from the China Cardiometabolic Disease and Cancer Cohort Study, a nationwide, population-based, cohort study done between )an 1,2011, and Dec 31,2016. Among 93 781 participants without diabetes at baseline and with complete information available about risk factors and diabetes incidence, we examined the hazard ratios (HRs) and population-attributable risk percentages (PAR%s) of incident diabetes associated with 12 potentially modifiable risk factors: two socioeconomic risk factors (less education and intermediate or low grade occupation), five lifestyle risk factors (unhealthy diet, physical inactivity, current alcohol consumption, current smoking, and unhealthy sleep), and five metabolic risk factors (general or central obesity, insulin resistance, prediabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidaemia) across four age groups (40 to <55 years, 55 to <65 years, 65 to <75 years, and >= 75 years). Findings With 337932 person-years' follow-up, 6171 participants developed diabetes. Although diabetes risk attributable to metabolic risk factors decreased slightly with age, metabolic risk factors accounted for most incident diabetes cases across all age groups (from a PAR% of 73.8% in participants aged 40 to <55 years to 65.5% in those aged >= 75 years), with prediabetes (ranging from a PAR% of 56.6% to 47.4%, with increasing age) and hypertension (PAR% of 16.8% to 28.6% with increasing age) being the leading risk factors across all age groups. By contrast, diabetes risk attributable to lifestyle risk factors increased substantially with age (with a PAR% of 9.9% in adults aged 40 to <55 years increasing to 29.7% in adults aged >= 75 years), and was especially evident in participants aged 75 years or older, in whom unhealthy sleep was the largest lifestyle factor, accounting for a PAR% of 17.0%. The impact of socioeconomic risk factors on diabetes was mainly driven by less education, which contributed to a PAR% of 7.1% to 12.4% in participants younger than 75 years but conferred no excess risk in participants aged 75 years or older. The risk of diabetes associated with unhealthy sleep significantly increased with age group (HR 1.04 [95% CI 0.95-1-13] among participants aged 40 to <55 years vs 1.36 [1.01-1.85] among participants aged >= 75 years; p(interaction)=0-0054), but there was an age-related decrease in the risk of diabetes associated with obesity (1.35 [1.23-1.48] vs 0.99 [0-72-1.36]; p(interaction)=0.0003), prediabetes (3.00 [2.67-3.37] vs 2.18 [1.41-3-37]; p(interaction)=0.0014), and dyslipidaetnia (1.23 [1.13-1.34] vs 0.90 [0.66-1.21]; p(interaction)=0.016) Interpretation These findings provide novel insights into age-related modifiable risk factor profiles for diabetes in Chinese adults, highlighting the importance of prioritising risk factors according to age groups for effective prevention and management of diabetes. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 老年医学
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出版当年[2019]版:
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Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Natl Clin Res Ctr Endocrine & Metab Dis, Sch Med,Ruijin Hosp,Shanghai Natl Ctr Translat Me, Shanghai Inst Endocrine & Metab Dis,Key Lab Endoc, Shanghai, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Natl Clin Res Ctr Endocrine & Metab Dis, Sch Med,Ruijin Hosp,Shanghai Natl Ctr Translat Me, Shanghai Inst Endocrine & Metab Dis,Key Lab Endoc, Shanghai, Peoples R China [*1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ruijin Hosp, Shanghai Natl Clin Res Ctr Endocrine & Metab Dis, Sch Med,Shanghai Inst Endocrine & Metab Dis, Shanghai 200025, Peoples R China
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