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Prevalence of frailty and prediction of mortality in Chinese cancer patients using a frailty index-based clinical algorithm-A multicentre study

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单位: [1]Zhejiang Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Sch Med, Dept Gastroenterol, Hangzhou, Peoples R China [2]Hangzhou Normal Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Inst Translat Med, Hangzhou, Peoples R China [3]Fujian Med Univ, Fujian Canc Hosp, Canc Hosp, Dept Med Oncol, Fuzhou, Peoples R China [4]Jilin Univ, Hosp 1, Canc Ctr, Changchun, Peoples R China [5]Chongqing Gen Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Chongqing, Peoples R China [6]Tumor Hosp Yunnan Prov, Affiliated Hosp 3, Kunming Med Coll, Dept Nutr, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [7]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Canc Hosp, Comprehens Oncol Dept, Beijing, Peoples R China [8]Zunyi Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Zunyi, Guizhou, Peoples R China [9]First Peoples Hosp Foshan, Canc Ctr, Foshan, Peoples R China [10]Harbin Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 4, Dept Clin Nutr, Harbin, Peoples R China [11]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Surg, Wuhan, Peoples R China [12]Tianjin Med Univ Canc Inst & Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Canc, Dept Gastrointestinal Oncol, Tianjin, Peoples R China [13]Zhengzhou Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Stat, Zhengzhou 450001, Peoples R China [14]Third Mil Med Univ, Daping Hosp, Dept Nutr, Chongqing, Peoples R China [15]Third Mil Med Univ, Res Inst Surg, Chongqing, Peoples R China [16]Peking Univ, Capital Med Univ, Beijing Shijitan Hosp,Dept Clin Nutr, Clin Med Coll 9,Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, 10 Tieyi Rd, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
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关键词: blood test cancer frailty mortality

摘要:
Purpose To investigate the frailty status in Chinese cancer patients through establishing a novel prediction algorithm. Methods The percentage of frailty in various age groups, locations, and tumor types in Chinese cancer patients was investigated. The prediction capacity of frailty on mortality of Chinese cancer patients was analysed by the frailty index composing of routine laboratory data (FI-LAB) accessible from a blood test and calculated as the ratio of abnormal factors to 22 total variables. The establishment of a novel algorithm, MCP (mortality of cancer patients), to predict the 5-year mortality in Chinese cancer patients was accomplished and the algorithm's prediction capacity was tested in the training and validation sets using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results We found that the risk of death in cancer patients can be successfully identified through FI-LAB. The univariable and multivariable Cox regression were used to evaluate the effect of frailty on death. In the 5-year follow-up, 20.6% of the 2959 participants (age = 55.8 +/- 11.7 years; 43.5% female) died, while the mean FI-LAB score in baseline was 0.23 (standard deviation = 0.13; range = 0-0.73). Frailty (after adjusting for gender, age, and other confounders) directly correlated with an increased risk of death, hazard ratio of 12.67 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.19, 22.31), compared to those without frailty. In addition, the MCP algorithm (MCP) = 3.678 x FI-LAB + 1.575 x sex + 1.779 x first tumor node metastasis staging, presented an area under the ROC (AUC) of 0.691 (95% CI: 0.656-0.726) and 0.648 (95% CI: 0.613-0.684) in the training and validation sets, respectively. Conclusion Frailty as defined by FI-LAB was common and indicated a significant death risk in cancer patients. Our novel developed algorithm MCP had a passable prediction capacity on 5-year MCP.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Zhejiang Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Sch Med, Dept Gastroenterol, Hangzhou, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [14]Third Mil Med Univ, Daping Hosp, Dept Nutr, Chongqing, Peoples R China [15]Third Mil Med Univ, Res Inst Surg, Chongqing, Peoples R China [*1]Third Mil Med Univ, Army Med Univ, Daping Hosp, Dept Nutr, Chongqing 400042, Peoples R China [*2]Third Mil Med Univ, Army Med Univ, Res Inst Surg, Chongqing 400042, Peoples R China
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