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Deep learning-based triage and analysis of lesion burden for COVID-19: a retrospective study with external validation

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单位: [1]Department of Neurology,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China [2]Department of Radiology,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China [3]Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China [4]Beijing Infervision Technology, Beijing, China [5]Department of Radiology, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China [6]Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Tianyou Hospital, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China [7]Xianning Centre Hospital, Huanggang, China [8]Department of Radiology, The Third People’s Hospital of Shenzhen, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Southern University of Science and Technology, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Shenzhen, China
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Background: Prompt identification of patients suspected to have COVID-19 is crucial for disease control. We aimed to develop a deep learning algorithm on the basis of chest CT for rapid triaging in fever clinics. Methods: We trained a U-Net-based model on unenhanced chest CT scans obtained from 2447 patients admitted to Tongji Hospital (Wuhan, China) between Feb 1, 2020, and March 3, 2020 (1647 patients with RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 and 800 patients without COVID-19) to segment lung opacities and alert cases with COVID-19 imaging manifestations. The ability of artificial intelligence (AI) to triage patients suspected to have COVID-19 was assessed in a large external validation set, which included 2120 retrospectively collected consecutive cases from three fever clinics inside and outside the epidemic centre of Wuhan (Tianyou Hospital [Wuhan, China; area of high COVID-19 prevalence], Xianning Central Hospital [Xianning, China; area of medium COVID-19 prevalence], and The Second Xiangya Hospital [Changsha, China; area of low COVID-19 prevalence]) between Jan 22, 2020, and Feb 14, 2020. To validate the sensitivity of the algorithm in a larger sample of patients with COVID-19, we also included 761 chest CT scans from 722 patients with RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 treated in a makeshift hospital (Guanggu Fangcang Hospital, Wuhan, China) between Feb 21, 2020, and March 6, 2020. Additionally, the accuracy of AI was compared with a radiologist panel for the identification of lesion burden increase on pairs of CT scans obtained from 100 patients with COVID-19. Findings: In the external validation set, using radiological reports as the reference standard, AI-aided triage achieved an area under the curve of 0·953 (95% CI 0·949–0·959), with a sensitivity of 0·923 (95% CI 0·914–0·932), specificity of 0·851 (0·842–0·860), a positive predictive value of 0·790 (0·777–0·803), and a negative predictive value of 0·948 (0·941–0·954). AI took a median of 0·55 min (IQR: 0·43–0·63) to flag a positive case, whereas radiologists took a median of 16·21 min (11·67–25·71) to draft a report and 23·06 min (15·67–39·20) to release a report. With regard to the identification of increases in lesion burden, AI achieved a sensitivity of 0·962 (95% CI 0·947–1·000) and a specificity of 0·875 (95 %CI 0·833–0·923). The agreement between AI and the radiologist panel was high (Cohen's kappa coefficient 0·839, 95% CI 0·718–0·940). Interpretation: A deep learning algorithm for triaging patients with suspected COVID-19 at fever clinics was developed and externally validated. Given its high accuracy across populations with varied COVID-19 prevalence, integration of this system into the standard clinical workflow could expedite identification of chest CT scans with imaging indications of COVID-19. Funding: Special Project for Emergency of the Science and Technology Department of Hubei Province, China. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-ND-ND 4.0 license

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:信息 1 区 医学:内科
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Q1 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2018版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2017版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of Neurology,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Neurology,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China [*1]Department of Neurology,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,430030,China
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