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Identification of Risk Factors of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis by using Classification Tree Method

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单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tongji Med Coll, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Tongji Med Coll, Minist Educ MOE,Key Lab Environm & Hlth, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China [3]Wuhan Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Dept TB Control, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [4]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Chest Oncol, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
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Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has become a major public health problem. We tried to apply the classification tree model in building and evaluating a risk prediction model for MDR-TB. In this case-control study, 74 newly diagnosed MDR-TB patients served as the case group, and 95 patients without TB from the same medical institution served as the control group. The classification tree model was built using Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detectormethod and evaluated by income diagram, index map, risk statistic, and the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Four explanatory variables (history of exposure to TB patients, family with financial difficulties, history of other chronic respiratory diseases, and history of smoking) were included in the prediction model. The risk statistic of misclassification probability of the model was 0.160, and the area under ROC curve was 0.838 (P < 0.01). These suggest that the classification tree model works well for predicting MDR-TB. Classification tree model can not only predict the risk of MDR-TB effectively but also can reveal the interactions among variables.

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出版当年[2016]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 热带医学 3 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 热带医学 4 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
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出版当年[2015]版:
Q1 TROPICAL MEDICINE Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
最新[2023]版:
Q2 TROPICAL MEDICINE Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2015版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2014版] 出版后一年[2016版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tongji Med Coll, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Tongji Med Coll, Minist Educ MOE,Key Lab Environm & Hlth, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tongji Med Coll, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Tongji Med Coll, Minist Educ MOE,Key Lab Environm & Hlth, Hangkong Rd 13, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China
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