Net clinical benefit of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease: a trade-off analysis from four phase III clinical trials
Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is quite prevalent in patient with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study mainly investigated the net clinical benefit (NCB) property of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in patients with AF and CKD by a pooled-analysis. Methods: A comprehensive search of Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library and Clinical Trials.gov Website was performed for eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reporting the efficacy and safety outcomes according to renal function of NOACs. Pre-specified outcomes and their number of patients needed to treat (NNT), including stroke/systemic embolism (SSE), major bleeding, and all-cause death, were evaluated using a random-effects model. NCB that balanced SSE and major bleeding was calculated using Singer's method. Results: Four phase III clinical trials including 70,952 patients were enrolled, 45,265 (64%) with CKD, and 25,687 (36%) without CKD; 41,942 (59%) taking NOACs and 29,010 (41%) taking warfarin. Risks of SSE [relative risk (RR): 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.73-0.88, P<0.01], major bleeding (RR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.66-0.96, P=0.017), and all-cause death (RR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.84-0.99, P=0.031) were significantly lower in CKD patients with NOACs than those with warfarin, accompanying with a high absolute risk reduction (NNT: 182 for SSE; 122 for major bleeding; 196 for all-cause death). While NOACs were not superior to warfarin on SSE, major bleeding, and all-cause death in patients without CKD, the NCB of NOACs versus warfarin was progressively increased with the deterioration of renal function (NCB: 0.72 for no CKD, 1.59 for mild CKD, 2.74 for moderate CKD). Sensitivity analyses did not significantly affect the primacy results. Conclusions: NOACs, compared with warfarin, provide a better clinical profile on SSE, major bleeding, all-cause death, and NCB in CKD patients.
基金:
National Science Foundation of China [81700423]; National Nature Science Foundation of China [81803841]; Research Funds of Shanghai health and family planning commission [20184Y0022]; Clinical Pharmacy Innovation Research Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine [CXYJY2019ZD001]; Program for Key but Weak Discipline of Shanghai Municipal Commission of Health and Family Planning [2016ZB0304]; Clinical Research Innovation and Cultivation Fund of Renji Hospital [PYIII-17-003]; Shanghai Outstanding Young Doctor Training Program from Shanghai Municipal Commission of Health and Family Planning; Shanghai Jiaotong University Medical Engineering Cross Fund [YG2016QN57]; Scientific research project of Shanghai municipal commission of health and family planning [20164Y0058]
第一作者单位:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Renji Hosp, Sch Med, Dept Pharm, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Renji Hosp, Sch Med, Dept Vasc Surg, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China[*1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Renji Hosp, Sch Med, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Gu Zhi-Chun,Kong Ling-Cong,Yang Shuo-Fei,et al.Net clinical benefit of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease: a trade-off analysis from four phase III clinical trials[J].CARDIOVASCULAR DIAGNOSIS AND THERAPY.2019,9(5):410-+.doi:10.21037/cdt.2019.07.09.
APA:
Gu, Zhi-Chun,Kong, Ling-Cong,Yang, Shuo-Fei,Wei, An-Hua,Wang, Na...&Lin, Hou-Wen.(2019).Net clinical benefit of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease: a trade-off analysis from four phase III clinical trials.CARDIOVASCULAR DIAGNOSIS AND THERAPY,9,(5)
MLA:
Gu, Zhi-Chun,et al."Net clinical benefit of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease: a trade-off analysis from four phase III clinical trials".CARDIOVASCULAR DIAGNOSIS AND THERAPY 9..5(2019):410-+