Some patients with marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) experience histological transformation to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Because of the paucity of long-term data on transformation, we conducted a population-based study to estimate the risk of transformation and its impact on survival in MZL. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database, we identified 23 221 patients with histology-proven MZL between 2000 and 2018. Competing risk method, Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression were performed to analyze time-to-event outcomes. Based on 420 events of transformation, the 10-year cumulative incidence rate of transformation is 2.23% (95% CI: 2.00%-2.46%) in MZL, 1.5% (95% CI: 1.3%-1.8%), 2.7% (95% CI: 2.3%-3.2%) and 5.8% (95% CI: 4.6%-7.1%) in extranodal, nodal and splenic MZL (EMZL, NMZL and SMZL), respectively. Patients with SMZL (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR], 2.96; 95% CI: 2.21-3.96) or NMZL (SHR, 1.49; 95% CI: 1.17-1.90) have a higher risk of transformation than those with EMZL. For each MZL subtype, patients with transformation had a significantly shorter overall survival. Patients with transformation >18 months since MZL diagnosis had longer OS than those who presented within 18 months (5-year rate, 87.4% [95% CI: 83.7%-91.2%] vs 47.9% [95% CI: 38.8%-59.0%]; P < .001). Compared to patients with matched de novo DLBCL, those whose DLBCL was transformed from MZL had a shorter OS (5-year rate, 56.6% [95% CI: 51.9%-61.8%] vs 46.1% [95% CI: 40.9%-51.9%]; P < .001). We concluded that patients with SMZL had the highest risk of transformation. Regardless of MZL subtype, transformation resulted in significantly increased mortality.© 2023 UICC.